Sunday 13 March 2022

IPCC Report February 2022: adaptation to climate change falls well behind

                                                              IPCC 2022

The latest report from Intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) continues the well established trend of identifying the sadly lagging response to the threat of climate change globally. While a few concrete steps have been taken to address carbon emissions and mitigation, these efforts remain substantially insufficient and in many cases, badly misdirected.

A number of messages in the report emphasise the importance of close collaboration between all parts of society: Government, private sector, media, the scientific community, investors and essentially international cooperation.

There is also a sense that many of the 'soft limits' to human adaptation have been reached and increasingly the next steps will be harder to achieve with options now increasingly closing off with the risk of cascade events more likely.

Key points covered in this report -
  • it is unequivocal that climate change has already disrupted human and natural systems. Past and current development trends (past emissions, development and climate change) have not advanced global climate resilient development.
  • climate resilient development prospects are increasingly limited if current greenhouse gas emissions do not rapidly decline, especially if 1.5C global warming is exceeded in the near term.  the Report also noted that " evidence of observed impacts, projects risks, levels and trends in vulnerability, and adaptation limits, demonstrate that worldwide climate resilient development action is more urgent than previously assessed in the 5th Assessment Report".
  • the rise in weather and climate extremes has led to some irreversible impacts as natural and humans systems are pushed beyond their ability to adapt.
  • approximately 3.3 to 3.6 billion people live in contexts that are highly vulnerable to climate change.
  • climate change impacts and risks are becoming increasingly complex and more difficult to manage. Multiple climate hazards will occur simultaneously and multiple climatic and non climatic risks will interact resulting in compounding overall risk and risks cascading across sectors and regions.
  • Note a key caveat about global warming that transiently exceeds 1.5C which is termed 'overshoot'. "Depending on the magnitude and duration of overshoot, some impacts will cause the release of additional greenhouse gases and some will be irreversible even if global warming is reduced".
The IPCC report can be accessed at this link: IPCC Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability report

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